đź§® Reliever Reliability Index (RRI) v2.6 #003 A Step-by-Step Formula


🥇 Step 1: Role-Based Base Score

This is your starting point. It’s based on how the pitcher is used, not just their title.

Role / SituationBase RRI
Closer / Setup in tight game (1–3 runs)60–80
High-Leverage (pLI ≥ 1.5)70
Middle Relief in game within 5 runs40–50
Mop-Up Duty25–30

đź§Ş Step 2: xFIP or SIERA Bonus

Predictive performance metric that shows skill-adjusted ERA.

ValueBonus
≤ 2.25+20
2.26 – 2.75+15
2.76 – 3.25+10
3.26 – 3.75+5
3.76 – 4.250
4.26 – 4.75-5
> 4.75-10

⚖️ Step 3: wOBAA Bonus (Contact Suppression)

Based on quality of contact allowed. Not just walks/hits — this includes how damaging they are.

ValueBonus
≤ .230+5
.231 – .260+3
.261 – .290+1
.291 – .3200
.321 – .350-1
> .350-3

đź’ľ Step 4: Save + Hold % Contribution

How much of the team’s SV+HLD a reliever has recorded.

= (Player SV + HLD) Ă· (Team SV + HLD Total) Ă— 10  
Max Bonus = +10


🔪 Step 5: K/BB Ratio (Last 60 Days)

This reflects dominance and command.

RatioBonus
≥ 6.0+10
4.0–5.9+7
2.75–3.99+3
2.00–2.740
< 2.00-5
< 1.25-10

🎯 Step 6: CSW% Bonus (Called Strikes + Whiffs)

Measures how often a pitcher is generating deceptive strikes.

CSW%Bonus
≥ 36%+5
32–35.9%+3
28–31.9%+1
< 28%0 or -2

🌀 Step 7: Spin Rate / Stuff Score

Based on individual pitch quality, not overall spin.

Pitch Ranking (per pitch type)Bonus
Top 5%+2.5
Top 10%+1

🧬 Step 8: Prospect Status Bonus

Prospect TierBonus
Top 10 Prospect+5
Top 50 Prospect+2.5
Top 100 / Call-Up+1.5

♻️ Step 9: Versatility Bonus

Awarded to relievers who pitch across multiple roles or situations.

Role VarietyBonus
≥15 appearances across multiple roles+5
10–14 appearances+3
Fewer than 100

đź§  Step 10: Historical Trust Bonus

For relievers who’ve been elite in role for 3+ seasons.

Trust LevelBonus
Elite History+5–10

🩼 Step 11: Injury History Penalty

IL HistoryPenalty
2+ IL Stints-10
1 IL Stint-5
No Injuries0

đź’Ł Step 12: Trade Rumor Penalty

Applied if a player is in confirmed or frequent trade speculation.

RolePenalty
Closer-15% of total score
Setup-20%
Middle RP-25%

🏆 Step 13: Team Success Bonus

Awarded based on division rank (reflects win leverage for relievers).

Division RankBonus
1st Place+4
2nd Place+2
3rd Place+1
4th Place0
5th Place-1

âś… Full Formula Template (RRI v2.6)

RRI =
Base Role Score
+ xFIP / SIERA Bonus
+ wOBAA Bonus
+ Save + Hold % Contribution Bonus
+ K/BB Bonus (Last 60 Days)
+ CSW% Bonus
+ Spin Rate / Stuff Bonus
+ Prospect Bonus
+ Versatility Bonus
+ Historical Trust Bonus
+ Team Success Bonus
– Injury History Penalty
– Trade Rumor Penalty



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